Wyoming · At-large district
Gray wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates WY-AL safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+39.8, and 8 in 10 fall between R+51.6 and R+28.1.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Lisa F. Kinney (D) vs. Chuck Gray (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+55EvenD+55
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Kinney 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Kinney 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Harriet Hageman (R), not running
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Kinney's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026