Michigan · District 8
Rivet wins 91 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MI-8 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+8.4, and 8 in 10 fall between D+0.3 and D+16.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
91
9
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) vs. Tom Smith (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Rivet 91 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Rivet 88 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Rivet's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Michigan
- Michigan 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
47
53
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
55
45
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
29
71
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Michigan 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
98
2
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026