Illinois · District 8
Bean wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates IL-8 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+12.7, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.7 and D+20.8.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Melissa Bean (D) vs. Jennifer Davis (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Bean 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Bean 97 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Raja Krishnamoorthi (D), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Bean's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Illinois
- Illinois 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
95
5
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Illinois 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
95
5
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Illinois 13
DEM WINS
REP WINS
98
2
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Illinois 16
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Illinois 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
98
2
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Illinois 17
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026