Tennessee · District 3
Fleischmann wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates TN-3 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+32.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+44.3 and R+20.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Anna Golladay (D) vs. Chuck Fleischmann (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Golladay 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Golladay 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Chuck Fleischmann (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Golladay's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Tennessee
- Tennessee 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026