November 3, 2026Updated daily

Rhode Island · District 1

Amo wins 100 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates RI-1 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+32.4, and 8 in 10 fall between D+20.6 and D+44.1.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

100

0

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Gabe Amo (D) vs. Kellie Keenan (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+45EvenD+45

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Amo 100 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Amo 100 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe D
Incumbent
Gabe Amo (D)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Amo's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct100

Other seats in Rhode Island

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026