November 3, 2026Updated daily

Ohio · District 8

Davidson wins 97 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates OH-8 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+12.6, and 8 in 10 fall between R+20.6 and R+4.4.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

3

97

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Vanessa Enoch (D) vs. Warren Davidson (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+25EvenD+25

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Enoch 3 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Enoch 2 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Warren Davidson (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Enoch's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct3

Other seats in Ohio

  • Ohio 9

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    42

    58

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Ohio 7

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    37

    63

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Ohio 10

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    16

    84

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Ohio 15

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    15

    85

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Ohio 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    87

    13

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Ohio 14

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    4

    96

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026