Oregon · District 3
Dexter wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OR-3 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+56.7, and 8 in 10 fall between D+44.9 and D+68.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Maxine Dexter (D) vs. Loran Ayles (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+70EvenD+70
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Dexter 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Dexter 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Maxine Dexter (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Dexter's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Oregon
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026