November 3, 2026Updated daily

Virginia · District 6

Cline wins 100 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates VA-6 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+27.0, and 8 in 10 fall between R+35.3 and R+18.4.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

0

100

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Beth Macy (D) vs. Ben Cline (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+40EvenD+40

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Macy 0 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Macy 0 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Ben Cline (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Macy's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct0

Other seats in Virginia

  • Virginia 2

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    54

    46

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Virginia 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    41

    59

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Virginia 5

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    7

    93

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Virginia 10

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    97

    3

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Virginia 7

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    97

    3

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Virginia 9

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026