November 3, 2026Updated daily

Maine · District 1

Pingree wins 100 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates ME-1 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+27.9, and 8 in 10 fall between D+19.4 and D+36.5.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

100

0

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Chellie Pingree (D) vs. Ronald Russell (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+40EvenD+40

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Pingree 100 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Pingree 100 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe D
Incumbent
Chellie Pingree (D)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Pingree's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct100

Other seats in Maine

  • Maine 2

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    41

    59

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026