Maryland · District 6
Delaney wins 95 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MD-6 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+16.2, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.4 and D+27.8.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
95
5
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
April McClain Delaney (D) vs. Robin Ficker (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+30EvenD+30
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Delaney 95 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Delaney 95 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- April McClain Delaney (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Delaney's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Maryland
- Maryland 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Maryland 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Maryland 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Maryland 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Maryland 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Maryland 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026