Virginia · District 10
Subramanyam wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates VA-10 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+18.6, and 8 in 10 fall between D+6.8 and D+30.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Suhas Subramanyam (D) vs. Dave Beckwith (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+35EvenD+35
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Subramanyam 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Subramanyam 97 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Suhas Subramanyam (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Subramanyam's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Virginia
- Virginia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
54
46
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
41
59
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026