Georgia · District 11
Cowan wins 86 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates GA-11 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+7.4, and 8 in 10 fall between R+16.4 and D+1.6.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Chris Harden (D) vs. John Cowan (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Harden 14 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Harden 15 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Barry Loudermilk (R), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Harden's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Georgia
- Georgia 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
10
90
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 12
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026