November 3, 2026Updated daily

Georgia · District 10

Gaines wins 98 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates GA-10 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+14.4, and 8 in 10 fall between R+22.5 and R+6.5.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

2

98

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Pamela DeLancy (D) vs. Houston Gaines (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+25EvenD+25

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
DeLancy 2 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
DeLancy 1 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Mike Collins (R), not running

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

DeLancy's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct2

Other seats in Georgia

  • Georgia 11

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    14

    86

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Georgia 7

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    10

    90

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Georgia 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    7

    93

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Georgia 2

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    97

    3

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Georgia 12

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    3

    97

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Georgia 3

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    2

    98

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026