November 3, 2026Updated daily

Utah · District 3

Maloy wins 100 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates UT-3 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+32.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+41.3 and R+23.5.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

0

100

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Kent Udell (D) vs. Celeste Maloy (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+45EvenD+45

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Udell 0 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Udell 0 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Mike Kennedy (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Udell's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct0

Other seats in Utah

  • Utah 2

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    5

    95

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Utah 4

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    1

    99

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Utah 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    100

    0

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026