California · District 20
Fong wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates CA-20 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+29.3, and 8 in 10 fall between R+41.0 and R+17.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Sandra Van Scotter (D) vs. Vince Fong (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Scotter 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Scotter 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Vince Fong (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Scotter's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in California
- California 22
DEM WINS
REP WINS
60
40
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- California 48
DEM WINS
REP WINS
92
8
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- California 13
DEM WINS
REP WINS
93
7
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- California 23
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- California 35
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- California 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026