Mississippi · District 2
Thompson wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MS-2 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+30.4, and 8 in 10 fall between D+18.7 and D+42.1.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Bennie Thompson (D) vs. Ron Eller (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Thompson 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Thompson 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Bennie Thompson (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Thompson's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Mississippi
- Mississippi 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
1
99
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Mississippi 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Mississippi 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026