South Carolina · District 7
Fry wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates SC-7 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+14.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+23.6 and R+5.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
John Vincent (D) vs. Russell Fry (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Vincent 3 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Vincent 2 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Russell Fry (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Vincent's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in South Carolina
- South Carolina 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026