Kansas · District 1
Mann wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates KS-1 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+29.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+41.3 and R+17.8.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Lauren Reinhold (D) vs. Tracey Mann (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Reinhold 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Reinhold 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Tracey Mann (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Reinhold's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Kansas
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026