Idaho · District 1
Fulcher wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates ID-1 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+29.6, and 8 in 10 fall between R+38.8 and R+20.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Kaylee Peterson (D) vs. Russ Fulcher (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+40EvenD+40
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Peterson 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Peterson 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Russ Fulcher (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Peterson's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Idaho
- Idaho 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
1
99
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026