Florida · District 24
Gilbert wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates FL-24 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+44.0, and 8 in 10 fall between D+32.2 and D+55.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Oliver Gilbert (D) vs. Mayonna Te Brown (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+60EvenD+60
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Gilbert 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Gilbert 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Frederica Wilson (D), not running
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Gilbert's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Florida
- Florida 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
59
41
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 22
DEM WINS
REP WINS
38
62
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 25
DEM WINS
REP WINS
72
28
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 16
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026