Colorado · District 8
Evans wins 56 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates CO-8 lean Republican. The middle simulated result is R+0.8, and 8 in 10 fall between R+8.0 and D+6.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
44
56
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Manny Rutinel (D) vs. Gabe Evans (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+10EvenD+10
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Rutinel 44 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Rutinel 42 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Toss-up
- Incumbent
- Gabe Evans (R)
Full simulation: voter personas react to each day's news in this race.
Over time
Rutinel's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Colorado
- Colorado 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026