Oregon · District 1
Bonamici wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OR-1 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+48.4, and 8 in 10 fall between D+36.7 and D+60.1.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Suzanne Bonamici (D) vs. Barbara Kahl (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+65EvenD+65
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Bonamici 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Bonamici 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Suzanne Bonamici (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Bonamici's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Oregon
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026