Vermont · At-large district
Balint wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates VT-AL safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+37.8, and 8 in 10 fall between D+29.7 and D+46.0.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Becca Balint (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+50EvenD+50
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Balint 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Balint 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Becca Balint (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Balint's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026