Louisiana · District 1
Republican wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates LA-1 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+35.2, and 8 in 10 fall between R+46.9 and R+23.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Democrat (D) vs. Republican (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+50EvenD+50
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Democrat 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Democrat 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Steve Scalise (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Democrat's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Louisiana
- Louisiana 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Louisiana 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Louisiana 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Louisiana 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Louisiana 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026