Colorado · District 2
Neguse wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates CO-2 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+50.1, and 8 in 10 fall between D+38.4 and D+61.8.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Joe Neguse (D) vs. Kelley Dennison (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+65EvenD+65
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Neguse 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Neguse 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Joe Neguse (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Neguse's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Colorado
- Colorado 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
44
56
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026