Tennessee · District 9
Taylor wins 93 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates TN-9 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+11.2, and 8 in 10 fall between R+20.7 and R+1.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Justin J. Pearson (D) vs. Brent Taylor (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Pearson 7 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Pearson 7 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Steve Cohen (D), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Pearson's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Tennessee
- Tennessee 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Tennessee 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026