Alabama · District 6
Palmer wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates AL-6 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+31.2, and 8 in 10 fall between R+42.9 and R+19.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Maurice Mercer (D) vs. Gary Palmer (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+45EvenD+45
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Mercer 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Mercer 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Gary Palmer (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Mercer's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Alabama
- Alabama 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
26
74
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Alabama 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
1
99
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Alabama 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Alabama 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Alabama 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Alabama 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026