Ohio · District 13
Sykes wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OH-13 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+12.3, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.3 and D+20.3.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Emilia Sykes (D) vs. Carey Coleman (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Sykes 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Sykes 96 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Emilia Sykes (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Sykes's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Ohio
- Ohio 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
37
63
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
16
84
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 15
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
87
13
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026