November 3, 2026Updated daily

South Carolina · District 2

Wilson wins 97 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates SC-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+12.3, and 8 in 10 fall between R+20.2 and R+4.2.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

3

97

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Zyon Khalifa (D) vs. Joe Wilson (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+25EvenD+25

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Khalifa 3 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Khalifa 3 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Joe Wilson (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Khalifa's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct3

Other seats in South Carolina

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026