November 3, 2026Updated daily
NotAPoll.org

Oregon · District 2

Bentz wins 99 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates OR-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+25.6, and 8 in 10 fall between R+37.5 and R+13.8.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

1

99

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Chris Beck (D) vs. Cliff Bentz (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+40EvenD+40

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Beck 1 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Beck 0 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Cliff Bentz (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Beck's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct1

Other seats in Oregon

  • Oregon 5

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    97

    3

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Oregon 6

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    98

    2

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Oregon 4

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    99

    1

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Oregon 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    100

    0

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Oregon 3

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    100

    0

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026