Colorado · District 4
Boebert wins 95 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates CO-4 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+11.8, and 8 in 10 fall between R+20.6 and R+2.9.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Eileen Laubacher (D) vs. Lauren Boebert (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Laubacher 5 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Laubacher 5 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely R
- Incumbent
- Lauren Boebert (R)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Laubacher's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Colorado
- Colorado 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
44
56
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Colorado 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026