Nevada · District 3
Lee wins 94 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NV-3 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+9.7, and 8 in 10 fall between D+1.7 and D+17.6.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
94
6
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Susie Lee (D) vs. Martin O'Donnell (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Lee 94 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Lee 92 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Susie Lee (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Lee's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Nevada
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026