Nebraska · District 3
Smith wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NE-3 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+51.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+63.2 and R+39.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Becky Stille (D) vs. Adrian Smith (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+65EvenD+65
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Stille 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Stille 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Adrian Smith (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Stille's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Nebraska
- Nebraska 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Nebraska 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026