Georgia · District 4
Johnson wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates GA-4 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+62.0, and 8 in 10 fall between D+50.2 and D+73.8.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Hank Johnson (D) vs. James Duffie (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+75EvenD+75
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Johnson 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Johnson 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Hank Johnson (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Johnson's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Georgia
- Georgia 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
10
90
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 12
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026