Georgia · District 12
Allen wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates GA-12 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+12.4, and 8 in 10 fall between R+20.4 and R+4.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Ceretta Smith (D) vs. Rick Allen (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Smith 3 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Smith 3 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Rick Allen (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Smith's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Georgia
- Georgia 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
10
90
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Georgia 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026