North Dakota · At-large district
Fedorchak wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates ND-AL safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+35.0, and 8 in 10 fall between R+46.7 and R+23.2.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Trygve Hammer (D) vs. Julie Fedorchak (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+50EvenD+50
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Hammer 0 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Hammer 0 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Julie Fedorchak (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Hammer's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026