Virginia · District 7
Vindman wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates VA-7 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+13.2, and 8 in 10 fall between D+5.2 and D+21.2.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Eugene Vindman (D) vs. Doug Ollivant (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+25EvenD+25
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Vindman 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Vindman 97 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Eugene Vindman (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Vindman's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Virginia
- Virginia 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
54
46
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
41
59
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Virginia 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026