Ohio · District 11
Brown wins 100 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates OH-11 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+63.0, and 8 in 10 fall between D+51.3 and D+74.7.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Shontel Brown (D) vs. Mike Kirchner (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+75EvenD+75
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Brown 100 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Brown 100 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Shontel Brown (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Brown's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Ohio
- Ohio 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
37
63
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
16
84
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 15
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
87
13
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Ohio 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026