Pennsylvania · District 6
Houlahan wins 98 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates PA-6 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+21.6, and 8 in 10 fall between D+9.8 and D+33.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
98
2
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Chrissy Houlahan (D) vs. Marty Young (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+35EvenD+35
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Houlahan 98 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Houlahan 99 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Chrissy Houlahan (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Houlahan's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Pennsylvania
- Pennsylvania 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
52
48
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
43
57
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
20
80
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 17
DEM WINS
REP WINS
95
5
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026