Minnesota · District 2
Little wins 97 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates MN-2 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+11.2, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.1 and D+18.2.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Matt Little (D) vs. Eric Pratt (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Little 97 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Little 97 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely D
- Incumbent
- Angie Craig (D), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Little's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Minnesota
- Minnesota 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
9
91
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Minnesota 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026