Nevada · District 2
Flippo wins 85 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NV-2 likely Republican. The middle simulated result is R+5.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+12.6 and D+1.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) vs. Dave Flippo (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+15EvenD+15
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Benitez-Thompson 15 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Benitez-Thompson 16 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely R
- Incumbent
- Mark Amodei (R), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Benitez-Thompson's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Nevada
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026