Nebraska · District 1
Flood wins 93 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NE-1 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+8.4, and 8 in 10 fall between R+15.5 and R+1.3.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
7
93
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Chris Backemeyer (D) vs. Mike Flood (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Backemeyer 7 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Backemeyer 7 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Mike Flood (R)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Backemeyer's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Nebraska
- Nebraska 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Nebraska 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026