Rhode Island · District 2
Magaziner wins 96 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates RI-2 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+17.1, and 8 in 10 fall between D+5.2 and D+29.0.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Seth Magaziner (D) vs. Victor Mellor (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+30EvenD+30
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Magaziner 96 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Magaziner 96 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Seth Magaziner (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Magaziner's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Rhode Island
- Rhode Island 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026