South Carolina · District 1
Honeycutt wins 85 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates SC-1 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+5.5, and 8 in 10 fall between R+12.4 and D+1.4.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Nancy Lacore (D) vs. Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+15EvenD+15
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Lacore 15 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Lacore 15 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Likely R
- Incumbent
- Nancy Mace (R), not running
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Lacore's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in South Carolina
- South Carolina 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 4
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026