South Carolina · District 4
Timmons wins 98 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates SC-4 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+21.9, and 8 in 10 fall between R+33.6 and R+10.1.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Courtney McClain (D) vs. William Timmons (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+35EvenD+35
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- McClain 2 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- McClain 1 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- William Timmons (R)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
McClain's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in South Carolina
- South Carolina 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
4
96
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
100
0
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- South Carolina 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
0
100
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026