Utah · District 2
Moore wins 95 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates UT-2 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+11.1, and 8 in 10 fall between R+19.3 and R+2.9.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Peter Crosby (D) vs. Blake Moore (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+20EvenD+20
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Crosby 5 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Crosby 5 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe R
- Incumbent
- Celeste Maloy (R)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Crosby's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Utah
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026