Pennsylvania · District 17
Deluzio wins 95 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates PA-17 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+15.9, and 8 in 10 fall between D+4.1 and D+27.5.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
95
5
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Chris Deluzio (D) vs. Tony Guy (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+30EvenD+30
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Deluzio 95 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Deluzio 94 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Chris Deluzio (D)
On watch: statistics, with the biggest stories checked every day.
Over time
Deluzio's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Pennsylvania
- Pennsylvania 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
52
48
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 10
DEM WINS
REP WINS
43
57
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 1
DEM WINS
REP WINS
42
58
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 8
DEM WINS
REP WINS
20
80
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
3
97
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Pennsylvania 16
DEM WINS
REP WINS
2
98
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026