New Jersey · District 7
Bennett wins 64 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates NJ-7 lean Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+1.9, and 8 in 10 fall between R+5.2 and D+9.0.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
64
36
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Rebecca Bennett (D) vs. Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+10EvenD+10
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Bennett 64 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Bennett 60 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Lean D
- Incumbent
- Tom Kean (R)
Full simulation: voter personas react to each day's news in this race.
Over time
Bennett's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in New Jersey
- New Jersey 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
93
7
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 2
DEM WINS
REP WINS
5
95
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 6
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 5
DEM WINS
REP WINS
96
4
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 3
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- New Jersey 11
DEM WINS
REP WINS
97
3
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026