November 3, 2026Updated daily

Indiana · District 9

Houchin wins 100 of 100 simulated elections

The simulation rates IN-9 safe Republican. The middle simulated result is R+28.1, and 8 in 10 fall between R+39.8 and R+16.3.

DEM WINS

REP WINS

0

100

of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Brad Meyer (D) vs. Erin Houchin (R)

Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections

R+40EvenD+40

Beside the benchmarks

Our simulation, Nov. 3
Meyer 0 in 100
Statistics only, no simulation
Meyer 0 in 100
Expert ratings, averaged
Safe R
Incumbent
Erin Houchin (R)

Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.

Over time

Meyer's chance in 100

The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.

025507510012 Oct13 Oct0

Other seats in Indiana

  • Indiana 5

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    10

    90

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 1

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    95

    5

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 2

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    1

    99

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 4

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    1

    99

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 3

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

  • Indiana 6

    DEM WINS

    REP WINS

    0

    100

    of 100 simulations, 3 Nov

Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026