Florida · District 23
Frankel wins 99 of 100 simulated elections
The simulation rates FL-23 safe Democratic. The middle simulated result is D+22.5, and 8 in 10 fall between D+10.6 and D+34.2.
DEM WINS
REP WINS
99
1
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Lois Frankel (D) vs. Deborah Adeimy (R)
Margin, 8 in 10 simulated elections
R+35EvenD+35
Beside the benchmarks
- Our simulation, Nov. 3
- Frankel 99 in 100
- Statistics only, no simulation
- Frankel 99 in 100
- Expert ratings, averaged
- Safe D
- Incumbent
- Jared Moskowitz (D)
Statistics only: every benchmark calls this seat safe.
Over time
Frankel's chance in 100
The shaded band is the toss-up zone, 45 to 55.
Other seats in Florida
- Florida 14
DEM WINS
REP WINS
59
41
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 22
DEM WINS
REP WINS
38
62
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 25
DEM WINS
REP WINS
72
28
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 7
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 16
DEM WINS
REP WINS
15
85
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
- Florida 9
DEM WINS
REP WINS
14
86
of 100 simulations, 3 Nov
Social simulation, not a pollTue, 13 Oct 2026